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USA 2.0

Eagle Policy Initiative

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    • The Crisis (Fiction)

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    • Bring Back Reagan Tax Rates

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By Erik Bethke
Stay and Rebuild

The Extraction Machines

8 min read
ready

Healthcare, Education, and the Missing $33,000


The 91% Revelation

S&P 500 companies spend 91% of net income on buybacks (54%) and dividends (37%). Only 9% goes to R&D, capital expenditure, and worker compensation combined. These are not productive enterprises that happen to have shareholders. They are extraction machines that happen to produce products.

But buybacks are only one of several interlocking extraction systems. Healthcare and education were also transformed from public goods into profit centers through specific, documentable policy changes — each following the same playbook:

  1. Start with a public good operated as non-profit
  2. Introduce a policy change allowing private profit extraction
  3. Frame it as "reform" or "consumer choice"
  4. Prices disconnect from value as market discipline is disabled
  5. An extraction industry emerges with the lobbying budget to prevent reversal
  6. Outcomes do not improve — and often worsen

The Healthcare Heist

What Existed Before

Blue Cross (1929) and Blue Shield (1930s) were established as non-profit civic institutions. Many states required health insurers to be non-profit. The plans operated under obligations:

  • Community rating: Everyone paid the same premium regardless of health status
  • Open enrollment: Could not deny coverage
  • Service benefit: Paid for services rendered, not a capped dollar amount

These were not "insurance companies." They were community-rated prepayment plans operated as public trusts.

Healthcare spending in 1960: 5.0% of GDP.

The Policy Changes

The HMO Act of 1973 (Nixon): The critical legal opening. Pre-empted state laws restricting for-profit health plans. Required employers to offer HMO options. Provided federal funds to establish for-profit HMOs.

The Nixon tapes (February 17, 1971) capture the origin:

John Ehrlichman: "Edgar Kaiser is running his Permanente deal for profit. And the reason he can do it... all the incentives are toward less medical care, because the less care they give them, the more money they make."

Nixon: "Fine."

That "Fine" now costs $2.4 trillion per year.

Blue Cross/Blue Shield Conversions (1990s-2000s): One-third of the 36 independent BCBS licensees converted from non-profit to for-profit. Accumulated community assets — built over decades of contributions — were transferred to charitable foundations at fractions of true value.

The for-profit giants emerged: UnitedHealth Group (founded 1977, now the largest healthcare company on Earth at $372B revenue), Aetna, CIGNA, Humana, Anthem/WellPoint. An entire extraction industry: pharmacy benefit managers, medical billing companies, prior authorization bureaucracies.

The Extraction Math

Metric Amount
US healthcare spending (2024)~$5.1 trillion (17.6% of GDP)
OECD average equivalent~$2.67 trillion (9.2% of GDP)
Annual excess spending~$2.4 trillion
US per-capita spending~$14,500
OECD average per-capita~$5,200
Per-capita excess~$9,300/year
Private insurance admin overhead~$600-700 billion
Medicare admin costs~2% of spending
Private insurer admin costs~15-18% of spending
UnitedHealth CEO compensation (2023)~$23.5 million

The Outcomes

For $2.4 trillion extra per year, America gets:

  • Last in life expectancy among wealthy nations (77.5 years vs. 80.3 OECD average)
  • Highest infant mortality (5.4 vs. Japan's 1.8 per 1,000)
  • Highest maternal mortality (22.3 vs. peer average of 5-8 per 100,000)
  • Highest rate of preventable deaths among wealthy nations
  • 27 million uninsured (peer nations: effectively zero)

We pay the most and get the worst outcomes. The $2.4 trillion doesn't buy healthcare. It buys extraction.

The Student Loan Trap

What Existed Before

When the federal student loan program was created (National Defense Education Act, 1958; Higher Education Act, 1965), student loans were fully dischargeable in bankruptcy — just like credit card debt, medical debt, or any other unsecured obligation. Normal debtor protections applied. Education was treated as a public good.

Total student debt in 1976: ~$10 billion.

The Step-by-Step Elimination of Bankruptcy Protection

Year Change Who Pushed It
1976Non-dischargeable for first 5 yearsHigher education lobby, lenders
1978"Undue hardship" standard introducedSame
1990Extended to 7 years (slipped into crime bill)Same
1998Federal loans permanently non-dischargeableSame
2005Extended to ALL loans including privateJoe Biden (lead Dem sponsor). MBNA — largest campaign contributor, headquartered in Delaware — VP bought Biden's house for $1.2M

The "undue hardship" test (from Brunner v. New York, 1987) requires proving you cannot maintain a minimal standard of living, your situation will persist, and you made good faith efforts. In practice, courts have denied discharge to disabled, elderly, and destitute borrowers. The standard is near-impossible to meet.

Sallie Mae — created in 1972 as a government-sponsored enterprise, privatized 1997-2004 into a for-profit corporation. Spent millions lobbying for non-dischargeability because it made loans risk-free assets that could be securitized. CEO Albert Lord earned $200M+ during this period.

The Debt Explosion

Year Total Student Debt Context
1976~$10 billionDischarge restrictions begin
1998~$300 billionFederal loans permanently non-dischargeable
2005~$500 billionPrivate loans also non-dischargeable
2012~$1 trillionSurpasses credit card debt
2024~$1.77 trillion43.5 million borrowers

That's a 177x increase over a period when population grew 1.5x and inflation grew ~5x. The remaining 35x is pure extraction enabled by making the debt inescapable.

Tuition at public universities: ~$620/year in 1976 → ~$11,260/year in 2024. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York found that for every $1 increase in federal loan limits, tuition rose 60 cents. The loans don't fund education — they fund tuition inflation.

What Other Countries Do Instead

Australia (HECS-HELP): No interest (indexed to inflation only). Repayment starts only above ~$35K income. Collected automatically through payroll tax. ~85% eventually repay. No private collectors, no harassment, no bankruptcies. Universities face price discipline because the government caps fees.

UK: 9% of income above ~$33K. Forgiven after 40 years. Only ~20-25% projected to repay in full. Functions as a graduate tax, not a loan.

Scandinavia: Tuition is free at public universities. Government provides monthly grants (~$1,000/month) plus optional low-interest loans.

The key insight: In income-contingent systems, universities don't get paid based on students' ability to repay. The university gets tuition from the government upfront. The student's obligation flows back through taxes. No private lending industry. No extraction.

The "Honor System" Solution

Making student loans unenforceable would force universities to price education at what graduates can reasonably afford. High-cost, low-value programs disappear. $200 million football stadiums and luxury dormitories become unaffordable. Administrative bloat gets cut. This is how markets are supposed to work — the current system is a market failure caused by government-guaranteed, non-dischargeable lending that removed all price discipline.

Ban Federal Loans to For-Profit Universities

For-profit colleges enroll 10-12% of students but capture 25% of federal aid. Some derive 85-90% of revenue from federal sources. Default rates 2-3x higher than public universities. Graduation rates ~20-25% vs. 60%+ at public institutions. A 2023 NBER study found for-profit credentials produced negative returns on investment for most programs. These are federally funded extraction machines, not schools.

The Combined Extraction Tab

Extraction Machine Annual Cost to Americans
Excess healthcare spending above OECD average~$2.4 trillion
Student loan payments~$100-110 billion
Buyback-to-wage gap ($15-30K/worker redirected to shareholders)~$800B-1T
Annual budget surplus lost to tax cuts (Retcon analysis)~$1 trillion
Total annual extraction~$4.3-4.5 trillion/year

Divide by 130 million US households: ~$33,000 per household per year.

That $33,000 is not some utopian redistribution fantasy. It is the measured, quantified gap between what Americans pay for healthcare, education, and financial extraction vs. what peer nations pay for the same (or better) services — plus the budget surplus that would exist if we'd simply maintained 1980 fiscal policy.

$33,000 per household per year is the price tag of the extraction machines.

A family earning $75,000/year in the counterfactual America — with 1980 tax policy, non-profit healthcare, dischargeable student loans, and no buyback siphon — would have the effective purchasing power of $108,000/year in today's extraction economy. That's the missing middle class. It wasn't destroyed by globalization or technology or demographics. It was extracted through four interlocking machines, each enabled by a specific policy change, each benefiting the same class of people.

The UBI Math

The $1 trillion annual budget surplus alone (from the Retcon analysis):

  • 340 million Americans
  • ~$2,940 per person per year, or ~$11,760 per family of four
  • Not transformative alone — but it's free money generated by doing nothing differently except maintaining the tax code that existed in 1980

Add the healthcare savings ($2.4T):

  • ~$7,060 per person, or ~$28,200 per family of four in reduced costs
  • Not a check — but money that stays in your pocket instead of flowing to UnitedHealth Group

The combined effect of simply reversing the extraction machines — no new programs, no novel policy, just returning to the rules that existed before the machines were built — would put the equivalent of $33,000 per year back in the hands of the average American household.

That's not radical. That's restoration.

Previous

The Retcon

Next

The $50,000 Stack