1. Home
  2. /
  3. Eagle
  4. /
  5. Doctrine
  6. /
  7. Trigger-scenario
🦅

USA 2.0

Eagle Policy Initiative
76 Sections (70 ready)

Pro-Forma Simulator

Toggle policies, see the math

Data Visualizations

Interactive charts & analysis

  • Vision & Values

    • The Call to Action

    • Lightcone Philosophy

    • Why USA 2.0?

    • Back to First Principles

  • The GRIN Framework

    • Introduction to GRIN

    • Generativity (G)

    • Resilience (R)

    • Evil as Parametric State

    • Ethics as Conservation Laws

  • GRIN in Action

    • How to Use GRIN Analysis

    • GRIN Analysis: Trump II Administration

    • Historical GRIN Patterns

    • GRIN vs. Hofstede: Two Lenses on Society

    • GRIN FAQ: 10 Hot-Button Issues

    • AI Personhood: The Hard Question

  • Declaration 2.0

    • Preamble

    • Self-Evident Truths 2.0

    • Modern Grievances

    • Rights of All Beings

    • Responsibilities

    • The Social Contract 2.0

    • The Declaration

  • Constitutional Framework

    • The Founding Documents

    • Executive Branch 2.0

    • Legislative Branch 2.0

    • Judicial Branch 2.0

    • Federalism 2.0

    • Amendment Process 2.0

    • Reader's Guide to the Errata

  • Policy Essays

    • The 70% Pay Cut

    • Housing: Back to 1.7 Years

    • Education: Back to 1970 Prices

    • Healthcare: The Hybrid Model

    • Social Security: Cut Taxes in Half

    • Citizen Equity Trust

    • Clean Capitalism

    • The Wealth Tax Floor

    • The Safety Bonus

    • Fiscal Discipline

    • Foreign Policy

    • Corruption & Reform

    • Climate & Environment

    • AI & Technology Rights

  • Stay and Rebuild

    • The Original Vampires

    • The Mortal Wounds

    • The Coup of 1971

    • The Consequences

    • The Debt Landscape

    • The Trigger

    • The Seven Pillars

    • The Kill Shot

    • The Firehose Redirect

    • The Trust Dividend

    • Stay and Rebuild

    • The Crisis (Fiction)

    • The First Days (Fiction)

    • The Other Side (Fiction)

    • The Retcon

    • The Extraction Machines

    • The $50,000 Stack

    • Bring Back Reagan Tax Rates

    • The 25-Year Restoration

    • Restoration Complete

    • Universal High Income

    • The Immigration Multiplier

    • You Can Still Get Rich

    • The Enslavement Tax

    • The Trade

    • The Meta-Machine

  • The Platform

    • Core Positions

    • Eagle Party Principles

    • How We Differ

  • Data & Analysis

    • Coming Soon

  • Take Action

    • Join the Movement

    • Contribute Ideas

    • Resources

By Erik Bethke
Stay and Rebuild

The Trigger

1 min read
ready

When the Debt Regime Breaks

The Trigger Scenario

A true black swan (or convergence of multiple crises) ruptures confidence in the debt regime:

  • Repo market or short-term funding freezes (happened in 2008, nearly in 2019)
  • Shadow banks can't roll overnight funding
  • Collateral chains break
  • Forced liquidations cascade across all asset classes simultaneously
  • Everything tries to exit the door at once — nobody on the other side to buy

Two Catastrophic Outcomes

Any president — regardless of party — faces two catastrophic outcomes with no good choice:

  1. Let the system collapse → economic chaos → civil unrest
  2. Bail out elites again + more austerity for working people → civil unrest from betrayal

The Third Path

The Stay and Rebuild Doctrine provides a third path: intervene, but restructure who pays.

Previous

The Debt Landscape

Next

The Seven Pillars